Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Prediction for
Win: Tagawa
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:45Tagawa win, 70% confidence.
Their last outing ended 64-79 at home against Siglap, and before that they lost 77-86 away to Img K-star. The pattern is consistent: they give up ground early and cannot recover.
Tagawa have been more volatile but showed enough to suggest superiority here. Their recent five yielded two wins and three losses, including a comfortable 73-70 victory away at SG Basketball and a 53-45 home win over Chong Ghee. They also suffered heavy defeats—56-92 away to Eng Tat Hornets and 55-73 away to Xin Hua—yet the margin of loss in those games does not negate the wins they secured.
The head-to-head record over three meetings shows Tagawa ahead 2-1. They won 80-69 away from Tungsan on 30 July 2025 and 97-75 away on 7 August 2024. Tungsan's sole victory came at home on 13 August 2024 with a 87-60 scoreline. Two of those three meetings were decided by double-digit margins, and Tagawa won both of their away fixtures.
The model projects Tagawa to score 72.4 points and Tungsan 65.2. A 7.2-point gap sits between the projections, and the draw probability registers at 0%, which aligns with basketball where results rarely end level. Both teams to score is also listed at 0%, and three or more point-difference outcomes at 0%—the model expects a straightforward result without complications.
This conclusion stops holding if Tungsan find a defensive structure they have not shown in recent weeks or if Tagawa's inconsistency in away games resurfaces. The visitors have lost every game this month, but a single shift in momentum could alter the trajectory. Tagawa's losses to Eng Tat Hornets and Xin Hua demonstrate they can be vulnerable on the road, and Tungsan's 87-60 home win over Tagawa in August 2024 proves they are capable of pulling off an upset when conditions suit.