Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Valdivia
Ancud
Prediction for
Win: Valdivia
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 31
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 01:33Valdivia to win, 85% confidence
Valdivia have won their last five matches without dropping a point, outscoring opponents 429 to 335 across that run. The form is stark: 90:58 away at CD Las Ánimas, 96:69 at home against CD Puerto Varas, 80:74 versus Puerto Montt, 77:70 on the road at Espanol Osorno, and 86:64 away at Ancud. They are averaging 85.8 points per game in that stretch while holding opponents to 67.0. Ancud, by contrast, have won three and lost two in their last five, scoring 385 points while conceding 403. Their most recent outing was a 66:88 home defeat to Puerto Montt.
Valdivia have taken the last three meetings between these sides, winning 97:78 at home on 13 July, 100:86 at home on 20 April, and 86:64 away on 3 August.
Valdivia sit fourth in the LNB table after 12 matches with seven wins and five losses. Ancud are sixth with four wins and eight losses.
The projection sits at 83.5, though the five-game winning streak suggests the real ceiling is higher.
Ancud can only stay in this by forcing Valdivia into half-court sets and winning the rebound battle.
A draw is not a realistic scenario in basketball, and Ancud would need to shoot significantly above their recent percentages while Valdivia underperform on both ends to avoid defeat.