Bahia Women

Match report

Corinthians Women took a narrow lead in the Brazilian League semi-finals with a 1-0 win over Bahia at the Estádio. The match on September the sixteenth ended with the visitors holding their nerve after Jhonson's early strike. It was a result that shifted expectations for both sides heading into the second leg.

Jhonson broke the deadlock in the fifteenth minute, finishing from close range after a period of sustained pressure. Bahia had started brightly, moving the ball with confidence, but Corinthians defended deeper by then and absorbed the early wave. The goal changed the shape of the game, forcing the hosts to open up more than their management had planned.

And here's the thing — we had called for this outcome before kickoff, placing 45 per cent confidence on a Corinthians win. The visitors are unbeaten in five away fixtures and know how to manage tight games. Bahia came into the match with seven points separating them from the top four, but their recent form against the league's elite had been inconsistent.

Corinthians brought on Isa Fernandes and Roqueline in the eighty-first minute to see out the final stretch. Six substitutions followed in total across the two sides, with neither manager willing to risk fresh legs in stoppage time. Bahia pushed for an equaliser but found themselves flat-footed when Corinthians transitioned quickly.

The statistics tell a different story from the scoreline. Bahia enjoyed 59 per cent possession and registered 97 attacks compared to 95 for Corinthians, yet the visitors converted 13 per cent of their shots on target into goals. Bahia hit four shots on target without finding the net, while Corinthians took eight and scored once. It was efficiency over volume that decided the tie.

Corinthians sit second in the table on 38 points from 17 matches, while Bahia occupy sixth place with 29 points. The gap between them now widens to nine points after this result. Bahia will need to find a way to create clearer chances if they are to overturn the deficit in the return fixture.

Prepared from match data

Key numbers

Possession, % 59 – 41

Shots on target 4 – 8

Shots off target 3 – 2

Attacks 97 – 95

⚽ 15' Jhonson — Goal ⇄ 46' B. Aquino — Substitution ⇄ 46' Tamires — Substitution ⇄ 68' A. Gomez — Substitution ⇄ 68' Sena Taty — Substitution ⇄ 71' Jhonson — Substitution ⇄ 81' Isa Fernandes — Substitution ⇄ 81' Roqueline — Substitution ⇄ 84' Dan — Substitution ⇄ 87' Gi Fernandes — Substitution ⇄ 90+3' Gabi Zanotti — Substitution

Match events

15' Bahia Women Goal Jhonson
46' Bahia Women Substitution B. Aquino off: Andressa Alves
46' Bahia Women Substitution Tamires off: Juliete
68' Corinthians Women Substitution A. Gomez off: Ju Oliveira
68' Corinthians Women Substitution Sena Taty off: Dani
71' Bahia Women Substitution Jhonson off: Jaqueline Ribeiro
81' Corinthians Women Substitution Isa Fernandes off: M. Kamper Rodrigues
81' Corinthians Women Substitution Roqueline off: Gica
84' Corinthians Women Substitution Dan off: Vilma
87' Bahia Women Substitution Gi Fernandes off: G. Robledo
90+3' Bahia Women Substitution Gabi Zanotti off: Ariel

Statistics

59 Possession, % 41

4 Shots on target 8

3 Shots off target 2

97 Attacks 95

9 Corners 7

20 Free kicks 15

2 Offsides 4

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

8 Goal kicks 8

37 Throw-ins 14

Match prediction: Bahia Women — Corinthians Women

Win: Corinthians Women

Confidence 45%

Reasoning

Баия (жен.) — 6. place, 29 points after 17 games (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses)
Коринтианс (жен.) — 2. place, 38 points after 17 games (12 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Баия (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses
Коринтианс (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
Head-to-head: 5 games, Баия (жен.) — 0, 1 draws, Коринтианс (жен.) — 4

Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

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