Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz: match prediction on 2 September 2026
FC Luzern
FC Vaduz
Prediction for
Win: FC Luzern
88%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
88%
1
8%
X
4%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:42- Люцерн — 9. place, 5 points after 5 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Вадуц — 11. place, 3 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 losses)
- Люцерн, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Вадуц, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Люцерн — 0, Вадуц — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
FC Luzern
WWDWD
3 wins · 2 draws
FC Vaduz
DLWLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 6
3FC Luzern
2Draw
1FC Vaduz
- 6 Sep 2024FC Vaduz — FC Luzern1:0
- 2 Jul 2022FC Luzern — FC Vaduz4:1
- 1 May 2021FC Vaduz — FC Luzern1:2
- 24 Feb 2021FC Vaduz — FC Luzern1:1
- 14 Feb 2021FC Luzern — FC Vaduz4:0
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:42FC Luzern to win, confidence 88%. The model expects 3.6 goals for the hosts against 0.7 for FC Vaduz, and the probability figures back a comfortable home victory: only 8% for a draw, 80% for three or more goals in the match.
Luzern have collected 8 points from their last five matches, winning twice and drawing twice while losing once. They beat Lausanne 1:0 at home on 22 August, then drew 1:1 away at Servette on 29 August. Their opening three matches produced two wins and a draw — a 3:0 victory over Buochs in the Swiss Cup and a 2:2 draw at St. Gallen. The only loss came away at FC Sion, 3:0.
FC Vaduz sit at the bottom of the table with just 3 points from five games, one win and four defeats. Their most recent result was a 5:2 home win against Grasshoppers on 30 August, but they have lost three of their last four matches. They drew 2:2 at home with Inter Turku in the Conference League on 13 August, then lost 4:2 away at Young Boys and 3:2 away at FC Sion.
The two sides share the relegation zone — 11 teams compete in the Swiss Super League, and 10th and 11th face a playoff. FC Vaduz won the only recent meeting, beating Luzern 1:0 in a friendly on 6 September 2024, but Luzern dominated the Super League encounters between 2020 and 2022 with victories of 4:1, 4:0 and 2:1.
The model points to 3:0 as the most likely scoreline at 10%, followed by 4:0 and 2:0 both at 9%. Both teams to score stands at 50%, but the expected goals suggest FC Vaduz will struggle to find the net. Luzern score 32% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Vaduz concede 26% of theirs in the same period — a pattern that could widen the gap late.
A draw would undermine this prediction. FC Vaduz have shown they can attack — they scored 12 goals in five matches — and if they exploit the 29% of Luzern's goals conceded in the opening 15 minutes, the match could tighten. The model does not account for injuries or suspensions, and both sides carry disciplinary risk: Luzern's O. Kabwit and Tyron Owusu have each received red cards, while Vaduz's Denis Simani sits one booking from a ban.