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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
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Transport United vs RTC: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Transport United
RTC
Prediction for
Win: Transport United
38%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
38%
1
26%
X
37%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:29- Транспорт Юнайтед — 3. place, 28 points after 15 games (9 wins, 1 draws, 5 losses)
- РТС — 5. place, 21 points after 15 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses)
- Транспорт Юнайтед, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- РТС, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Транспорт Юнайтед — 3, 2 draws, РТС — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Transport United
WLWLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
RTC
LLLWD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 7
3Transport United
2Draw
2RTC
- 26 JunRTC — Transport United0:1
- 19 Oct 2025Transport United — RTC1:1
- 3 Jul 2025RTC — Transport United2:3
- 9 Aug 2024RTC — Transport United2:1
- 26 May 2024Transport United — RTC4:4
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:29Transport United to win 1-0. The model gives both sides 1.4 expected goals, yet the three most probable scorelines cluster around a single-goal margin — 1:1 at 12%, 1:0 at 9%, and 0:1 at 9%. Transport United's home advantage and the fact they won the last meeting 1:0 away at RTC tip the balance.
Transport United sit 3rd with 28 points after 15 matches — 9 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses. Their last five games brought 3 wins and 2 defeats, netting 13 goals and conceding 8. The 2:4 home loss to Paro on 12 September stands out as a warning, but before that they won 5:0 away at Bhutan U19 and 4:1 at home against Tensung. They score late: 31% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes, and they have 19% in the 61-75 minute block. On the other end, 33% of goals against them fall in the opening 15 minutes — they start poorly and finish strongly.
RTC are 5th with 21 points — 6 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses. Their last five matches produced 2 wins and 3 losses, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. They beat Drukpa 3:1 away on 14 September and Ugyen Academy 1:0 away on 30 July, but lost at home to Thimphu City 1:2 and to Thimphu 1:2. Their goal pattern is different: 50% arrive after the 75th minute, yet they have scored nothing in the first 30 minutes of any match this season. They also concede heavily in the closing phase — 33% of goals against them come in the final 15 minutes.
Seven meetings since 2023 give Transport United the edge with 3 wins to RTC's 2, plus 2 draws. The most recent encounter on 26 June 2026 ended 1:0 to Transport United at RTC's ground. Transport United also lost 2:0 at home in October 2023 and drew 4:4 at home in May 2024.
The model's 26% draw probability and 55% both-teams-to-score figure suggest a tight contest where either side could snatch a result. Transport United's 1.4 expected goals mirrors RTC's, but the host's ability to attack in the final quarter gives them an edge.
Confidence: 62%. It would fall away if RTC defend deep and exploit their late-game strength — 50% of their goals come after 75 minutes, and they have conceded 33% of goals against them in that period.