Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Ugyen Academy vs Paro: match prediction on 8 September 2026
Ugyen Academy
Paro
Prediction for
Win: Paro
86%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
5%
1
9%
X
86%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 10:02- Угйен Академия — 10. place, 4 points after 13 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 11 losses)
- Паро — 1. place, 34 points after 13 games (11 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Угйен Академия, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Паро, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Угйен Академия — 0, Паро — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ugyen Academy
DLLLL
1 draw · 4 losses
Paro
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 5
0Ugyen Academy
0Draw
5Paro
- 23 JunParo — Ugyen Academy11:0
- 2 Aug 2025Paro — Ugyen Academy3:2
- 28 Jun 2025Ugyen Academy — Paro0:3
- 13 Nov 2023Ugyen Academy — Paro1:5
- 26 Aug 2023Ugyen Academy — Paro0:3
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 10:02Paro win. The gap between these sides is measured in points and in results, and on neither front does Ugyen Academy have a path to a positive outcome. Paro sit top with 34 points after 13 matches, Ugyen Academy are 10th with 4. In the last five meetings Paro have won all five, including an 11:0 demolition on 23 June 2024. Confidence: 91%.
Paro arrive in flawless form. Five wins from five, 15 goals scored, one conceded. The most recent was a 7:0 home victory over Tsirang on 26 August. Before that, a 1:0 win against RTC and a 2:0 AFC Challenge League victory over Abu Muslim. Away from home they beat Drukpa 3:1 on 3 August. They average 68% possession and 18 shots per game. Ugyen Academy's last five yielded zero wins, one draw, four losses, and just one point. They have not scored since 16 August, when they lost 2:3 to Tensung at home.
Paro lead by 30 points over Ugyen Academy, who occupy the bottom spot with a record of one win, one draw, and eleven defeats. At home, Ugyen Academy have managed only a goalless draw with Transport United on 18 July. They have lost four of their last five home matches, conceding six goals while scoring two. Their goal distribution is skewed heavily into the opening 15 minutes — 50% of their six goals — and they have not scored at all between the 31st and 45th minute or after the 76th. Defensively, 28% of the goals they have conceded have arrived in the final 15 minutes.
Paro are expected to score 3.7 goals; Ugyen Academy 0.9. The three most likely scorelines are 0:3, 1:3, and 0:4, each at 8%. Simulations favour a high-scoring Paro win. Both teams to score comes in at 59%. Paro's own goal pattern shows 34% of their 35 goals arriving between the 31st and 45th minute, and they have conceded half of their four goals in the final 15 minutes. Ugyen Academy's attack appears to have stalled since mid-July.
Paro's form includes rotation risks, having already played Abu Muslim on 11 August with potential further demands ahead of AFC Challenge League fixtures.