Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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SDE HF W
MODO Hockey Women
Prediction for
Slight edge: SDE HF W
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 38
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 18:05SDE HF W are the favourites to win this SDHL Women's encounter, and the head-to-head record is the clearest indicator. They have won five of the last six meetings, including both matches this season, and the model gives them a slight edge in expected goals with 2.6 to 2.3.
Recent form shows contrasting patterns
SDE HF W have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. They opened with a 3:2 victory away at HV71 Women, followed by a 2:1 home win against Linköping HC Women. Their most recent outing ended in a 1:2 loss at home to Skellefteå AIK Women. MODO Hockey Women have collected six points from five games, with two wins and three losses. Those were followed by a 2:4 away loss at Skellefteå AIK Women. MODO recovered with consecutive home victories, beating Frölunda W 4:1 and Luleå HF Women 4:0.
The head-to-head tells a different story
SDE HF W have dominated this fixture in recent years. Of the 28 matches played between the sides, SDE have claimed 12 victories while MODO have won 16. They completed the set with a 1:0 victory away at MODO on 8 March 2026.
The model points toward goals
The statistical model expects both sides to find the net, with an 84% probability of both teams scoring. The draw probability stands at 19%, while there is an 87% chance of three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 7%, 3:2 at 6%, and 2:1 at 6%. SDE's expected goals of 2.6 suggest they will most often score one or two, while MODO's 2.3 indicates a similar pattern. The model does not account for the recent head-to-head dominance, which tilts the balance further toward a SDE victory.
A draw would undermine the prediction
The main threat to a SDE win is the 19% draw probability combined with MODO's recent ability to score at home. Their two victories this season both came at home, and they have scored four goals in each of those matches. If MODO can contain SDE's attack while exploiting their own offensive opportunities, the draw becomes a real possibility. The high both-teams-to-score percentage also means a tight match is likely, where either side could snatch a result.
SDE HF W should edge this encounter, but the margin will be narrow given the defensive vulnerabilities both sides have shown in recent matches.