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SDE HF W vs MODO Hockey Women: match prediction on 16 October 2026

SDHL Women Enebybergs Ishall Enebyberg Hit Match page
SDE HF W MODO Hockey Women

Prediction for

Slight edge: SDE HF W

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

47% 1
19% X
34% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 18:05

SDE HF W are the favourites to win this SDHL Women's encounter, and the head-to-head record is the clearest indicator. They have won five of the last six meetings, including both matches this season, and the model gives them a slight edge in expected goals with 2.6 to 2.3.

Recent form shows contrasting patterns

SDE HF W have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. They opened with a 3:2 victory away at HV71 Women, followed by a 2:1 home win against Linköping HC Women. Their most recent outing ended in a 1:2 loss at home to Skellefteå AIK Women. MODO Hockey Women have collected six points from five games, with two wins and three losses. Those were followed by a 2:4 away loss at Skellefteå AIK Women. MODO recovered with consecutive home victories, beating Frölunda W 4:1 and Luleå HF Women 4:0.

The head-to-head tells a different story

SDE HF W have dominated this fixture in recent years. Of the 28 matches played between the sides, SDE have claimed 12 victories while MODO have won 16. They completed the set with a 1:0 victory away at MODO on 8 March 2026.

The model points toward goals

The statistical model expects both sides to find the net, with an 84% probability of both teams scoring. The draw probability stands at 19%, while there is an 87% chance of three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 7%, 3:2 at 6%, and 2:1 at 6%. SDE's expected goals of 2.6 suggest they will most often score one or two, while MODO's 2.3 indicates a similar pattern. The model does not account for the recent head-to-head dominance, which tilts the balance further toward a SDE victory.

A draw would undermine the prediction

The main threat to a SDE win is the 19% draw probability combined with MODO's recent ability to score at home. Their two victories this season both came at home, and they have scored four goals in each of those matches. If MODO can contain SDE's attack while exploiting their own offensive opportunities, the draw becomes a real possibility. The high both-teams-to-score percentage also means a tight match is likely, where either side could snatch a result.

SDE HF W should edge this encounter, but the margin will be narrow given the defensive vulnerabilities both sides have shown in recent matches.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 18:05
  • СДЕ ХФ В — 6. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
  • Модо Хоккей — 9. place, 0 points after 6 games (2 wins, 4 losses)
  • СДЕ ХФ В, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Модо Хоккей, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 28 games, СДЕ ХФ В — 12, Модо Хоккей — 16

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

SDE HF W WWLLW 3 wins · 2 losses
MODO Hockey Women WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 38

16SDE HF W 0Draw 22MODO Hockey Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+