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Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: match prediction on 14 October 2026
Utah Mammoth
Toronto Maple Leafs
Prediction for
Win: Utah Mammoth
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
54%
1
15%
X
31%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 02:05- Юта Маммот — 2. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Торонто Мейпл Лифс — 4. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
- Юта Маммот, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Торонто Мейпл Лифс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Юта Маммот — 1, Торонто Мейпл Лифс — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Utah Mammoth
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Toronto Maple Leafs
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
1Utah Mammoth
0Draw
1Toronto Maple Leafs
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 02:05A high-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. The model gives 16% probability and the expected goals suggest Utah Mammoth 3.7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Both sides have been inconsistent, and the head-to-head record shows one victory apiece. A 3:3 result carries 5% probability, tied with 3:2, while 4:3 sits at 4%.
Utah Mammoth have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding 15. Their most recent outing was a 4:1 victory away at Buffalo Sabres on 10 October, followed by a heavy 1:6 defeat at Boston Bruins two days earlier. They also beat New Jersey Devils 5:3 and Columbus Blue Jackets 4:1, but lost 2:4 to New York Rangers.
Toronto Maple Leafs have matched that pattern exactly — three wins, two losses, 18 goals scored, 15 conceded. They beat Colorado Avalanche 6:3 on 10 October, then lost 3:4 at Vegas Golden Knights. At home they defeated Nashville Predators 5:4 and New York Islanders 2:1, but fell 2:3 to Ottawa Senators.
The two sides have met twice in recent years. Utah Mammoth won 6:1 at home on 14 January 2026, while Toronto Maple Leafs answered back with a 5:3 victory on their own turf on 6 November 2025.
Utah Mammoth sit second after four matches with a 2-2 record. Toronto Maple Leafs are fourth after six games, 3-3. Both teams have played different numbers of fixtures, but both sit on 50%.
The statistical model expects 96% probability of three or more goals being scored and 93% that both teams will find the net. The three most likely scorelines all involve multiple goals from each side — 3:3, 3:2, and 4:3.
The prediction changes if Toronto Maple Leafs are unable to field Kirill Marchenko, who signed a six-year, $75 million contract on 28 September 2026 after being traded from Columbus Blue Jackets. His paperwork wasn't done as of 29 September 2026, and the team news indicates he could miss the season opener. Without him, the Maple Leafs' attacking output may fall below the model's expectations.