Umea Women vs Fryshuset Basket Women: match prediction on 20 September 2026

Fryshuset Basket Women to win. Their recent form and head-to-head dominance over Umea Women make them the clear favourite on 20 September.

Umea Women have struggled for consistency this season. In their last five matches they secured only two victories while suffering three defeats, scoring 236 points and conceding 341. Their most recent outing ended in a 44:58 loss away at Lulea Stars Women on 28 March. The heavy 25:84 defeat to Hammarby Women on 22 February stands out as particularly concerning. They did manage wins against Tureberg Women 69:64 and Östersund 2 Women 65:55, but those victories came against lesser opposition and cannot mask the underlying vulnerability in their defence.

Fryshuset Basket Women arrive with momentum. Three wins from their last five games, including a 97:67 home victory over Blackeberg Women on 21 March and an 85:47 away win at Skuru Women on 8 March, demonstrate their attacking capability. They scored 380 points across those five matches while conceding 309. Their only setbacks came against RIG Lulea Women 64:73 and KFUM Central Women 63:64, both narrow away defeats. The contrast in scoring output between the two sides is striking.

The head-to-head record tells a familiar story. The most recent encounter on 21 February ended 80:33 in Fryshuset's favour at their own venue. The only time Umea triumphed was 61:55 on 13 April 2025.

The statistical model projects Fryshuset Basket Women to score 68.1 points while Umea Women are expected to manage 55.4. The model expects a decisive result with Fryshuset covering the expected margin. These figures align with the observed form and historical dominance.

65% confidence in Fryshuset Basket Women extending their head-to-head advantage. The model's expected points total reinforces the expectation of a comfortable away victory.