Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Prediction for
Win: Alvik 2 Women
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 18:25Alvik 2 Women to win
Alvik 2 Women Women are expected to beat Viby Women on Sunday. The model projects a 75.7 to 61.6 victory, and the form gap between the sides is wide enough to justify backing the visitors.
Viby Women have lost four of their last five matches, scoring just 314 points while conceding 361. Their only win came away at Sollentuna Women on 20 September, a 91:65 result that stands as an outlier in an otherwise poor run. Since then they have dropped 59 points at home to Lulea Stars Women and 82 away to Skuru Women. The most recent outing saw them fall 59:84 at Fryshuset Basket Women on 29 September.
Alvik 2 Women Women have taken 12 points from their last five games, winning four and losing just once. Their latest match was a 91:31 comfortable win of Skuru Women at home on 4 October. Before that they beat Lulea Stars Women 73:57 away and Lulea 2 Women 90:78 away. Their sole defeat came 64:68 at home to Blackeberg Women on 19 September. They are averaging 77 points per game over the last five fixtures compared to Viby's 62.8.
The model gives Alvik 2 Women Women a 75.7 expected point total and Viby Women 61.6. That 14-point margin reflects the difference in offensive output and defensive stability. Alvik 2 have conceded an average of 59 points per game in their recent run, while Viby have let in 72.2. They're scoring more while conceding fewer points.
Alvik 2 Women Women should control the tempo and extend their lead through the match on 11 October. Viby Women are playing with momentum against them and have struggled to contain opponents' attacks. Alvik 2 Women have found their scoring rhythm and are comfortable on both ends of the court.
A drop in Alvik 2 Women's shooting efficiency or a surge from Viby would shift the balance.
70% confidence