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50%
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Tensung vs Bhutan U19: match prediction on 15 September 2026
Tensung
Bhutan U19
Prediction for
Win: Bhutan U19
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
25%
1
20%
X
55%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 10:13- Тенсун — 9. place, 8 points after 14 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses)
- Бутан U19 — 8. place, 16 points after 14 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses)
- Тенсун, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Бутан U19, last 5 games: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Тенсун — 3, 1 draws, Бутан U19 — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tensung
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Bhutan U19
LDLWL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 8
3Tensung
1Draw
4Bhutan U19
- 22 MayBhutan U19 — Tensung1:1
- 1 Aug 2025Tensung — Bhutan U191:6
- 7 Oct 2024Bhutan U19 — Tensung0:1
- 5 Jul 2024Tensung — Bhutan U191:0
- 30 Nov 2023Bhutan U19 — Tensung2:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 10:13Confidence 65%.
Tensung sit ninth with eight points after fourteen matches — two wins, two draws, ten losses. Their last five outings produced one victory and four defeats, netting six goals and conceding twenty. That 3:2 win away at Ugyen Academy on 16 August was an exception in a run of heavy defeats: 1:4 at Transport United, 1:7 away at Thimphu City, 1:3 against Paro at home, and 0:4 at Thimphu City. They have not kept a clean sheet in any of those five games.
Bhutan U19 occupy eighth place with sixteen points from the same number of fixtures — four wins, four draws, six losses. Their recent form has been tighter but still winless: three draws and two defeats in their last five, yielding eight goals and surrendering seventeen. The 5:5 draw away at Tsirang on 18 August was a rare bright spot in a campaign that also included a 0:5 home loss to Transport United and a 1:5 defeat at Drukpa.
The head-to-head record shows seven meetings in total. Tensung have won three, Bhutan U19 three, with one draw. The most recent encounter on 22 May 2026 ended 1:1 in Thimphu. Before that, Bhutan U19 dismantled Tensung 6:1 at the latter's ground on 1 August 2025. The visitors have won two of the last three meetings between the sides, including a 2:0 victory at home in November 2023.
The model projects Tensung scoring 1.5 goals and Bhutan U19 2.3, with a 20% chance of a draw and 69% that both sides find the net. Three or more goals are expected in 72% of simulations. The most probable scoreline is 1:2 at 9%, followed by 1:1 at 8% and 1:3 at 7%. Both teams are vulnerable in the opening fifteen minutes — Tensung concede 15% of their goals in that window, Bhutan U19 21%. Bhutan U19 also strike early, with 36% of their goals arriving in the first quarter-hour.
A win for Bhutan U19 falls apart if Tensung replicate the 3:2 away victory at Ugyen Academy and Bhutan U19 fail to convert their early pressure. The visitors have drawn three of their last five matches and have not won any of those five — a pattern that could persist if they cannot break down a compact defence.
The match kicks off at 09:00 UTC on 15 September 2026.