Argentino vs Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia to win. The visitors have dominated this fixture for years, winning five of the last six meetings, and the model projects them to outscore Argentino 81.6 to 72.4.

Home momentum

Argentino arrive on a perfect run of five victories, scoring 394 points and conceding 355 across those matches. Four of those wins came at home, with margins of 3, 11, 11 and 8 points. The fifth was an 84-78 away victory over Atenas in May. Their recent home form is impressive, but the opposition quality varies — they beat San Martin Corrientes 82-79 and Ferro 79-68 in October, then faced Atenas twice in May.

Visitors' mixed run

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia have won three and lost two in their last five games. They beat Racing de Chivilcoy 78-72 away and La Union Formosa 92-86 at home in October, but lost to San Lorenzo de Almagro 89-73 and Penarol 62-57 on the road. Their away record includes a 92-74 victory at Lanus in September. They average 78.4 points scored and 76.6 conceded across the five matches.

Head-to-head dominance

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia have won five of the last six meetings between these sides. The most recent was 89-74 in their favour on 18 April 2026. The only game Argentino have won in that period was 86-85 in December 2023. The other five results all went to the visitors, including a 113-74 demolition in April 2025.

Model projection

The statistical model expects Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia to score 81.6 points and Argentino 72.4. That 9.2-point margin aligns with the visitors' historical superiority in this fixture. The model does not factor in current form or injuries — it is built purely from scoring and defensive averages.

When the prediction fails

If Argentino replicate their recent home scoring rate of 78.8 points per game while holding Gimnasia below their 78.4 average, the visitors' advantage disappears. The model's projection assumes both sides perform at their season-long scoring levels, which would give Gimnasia the edge.