Alvarado 3:2 Atenas: Torneo Federal A Match Result

Match report

Alvarado secured a 3:2 victory over Atencas in the Winners Stage - 7 of the Torneo Federal A on Saturday evening. The result keeps the hosts top of the table with 11 points from five games, while Atencas remain third on 10 points. We had tipped Alvarado to take the points this afternoon, and 66 per cent confidence was justified by the final whistle.

Agustín Arcando opened the scoring in the 51st minute, giving the home side a lead they would not surrender. Germán Cervera doubled the advantage in the 68th, and by then the visitors were already searching for a way back into the contest. Atencas pulled one back in the 81st, but Alvarado struck again through the 89th-minute goal to put the tie beyond doubt.

And here's the thing — the match was not decided by dominance in possession. Alvarado held 64 per cent of the ball and registered 12 shots on target, yet Atencas were the more clinical side when it mattered. Three yellow cards for the visitors and a red card in the 90+4th minute showed how the game had frayed at the edges.

The visitors had been in decent form before this encounter, winning three of their last five matches. But they lost their man in the closing stages and could not recover. To be fair, they created enough to avoid defeat, but the red card changed everything.

Alvarado now extend their unbeaten run to five games, with three wins and two draws. Atencas suffer their first defeat of the season and drop further behind the leaders. The gap remains just one point, but the match showed how thin the margin is at the top.

Prepared from match data

Key numbers

Possession, % 64 – 36

Shots on target 12 – 4

Shots off target 9 – 3

Attacks 87 – 72

🟨 38' Yellow card ⚽ 51' Agustín Arcando — Goal ⚽ 68' Germán Cervera — Goal 🟨 73' Yellow card ⚽ 81' Goal 🟨 82' Yellow card 🟨 88' Yellow card ⚽ 89' Goal 🟨 90+1' Yellow card ⚽ 90+2' Goal 🟥 90+4' Red card

Match events

38' 0:0 Atenas Yellow card
51' 0:1 Atenas Goal Agustín Arcando
68' 1:1 Alvarado Goal Germán Cervera
73' 1:1 Atenas Yellow card
81' 2:1 Alvarado Goal
82' 2:1 Alvarado Yellow card
88' 2:1 Alvarado Yellow card
89' 2:2 Atenas Goal
90+1' 2:2 Atenas Yellow card
90+2' 3:2 Alvarado Goal
90+4' 3:2 Atenas Red card

Statistics

64 Possession, % 36

12 Shots on target 4

9 Shots off target 3

87 Attacks 72

9 Corners 4

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

5 Goal kicks 18

All statistics

0 Blocked shots 0

Match prediction: Alvarado — Atenas

Win: Alvarado

Confidence 66%

Reasoning

Альварадо — 1. place, 11 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Атенас — 3. place, 10 points after 5 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
Альварадо, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
Атенас, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses

Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

Recent form

Alvarado

DDWWLD

Recent matches

All team matches

Atenas

WDWLWL