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Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Torneo Federal A Estadio Hugo Assaff Tafí Viejo Hit Match page
Villa Mitre Huracan Las Heras

Prediction for

Win: Villa Mitre

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54% 1
30% X
17% 2

Average bookmaker line (33)

1.68 1
3.04 X
5.45 2

Odds range

1.58 — 1.77

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40

Villa Mitre to win at 1.63. The bookmakers have made 31 firms agree on the home side, and the model backs that view with expected goals of 1.2 against 0.4 for the visitors.

The home side's recent record reads one win, three draws, one loss. They drew 0:0 at home against Alvarado and 0:0 away at Juventud Antoniana, lost 0:2 away at Olimpo de Bahía Blanca, drew 1:1 at home against Cipolletti, and won 1:0 away at Atenas. They have scored two goals and did not concede three across those five matches.

The head-to-head shows five meetings since 2021. Villa Mitre won 2:0 at home in March 2022, drew 3:3 at home in August 2021, lost 1:2 away in April 2021, lost 1:2 away in January 2021, and lost 1:2 away in July 2022. Villa Mitre's home record against Huracan Las Heras stands at one win and one draw.

The model gives 31% for a draw, 23% for both teams to score, and 21% for three or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 24%, followed by 0:0 at 21% and 2:0 at 15%. Villa Mitre have scored 16 goals this season, with 25% coming in the final 15 minutes. They have conceded 11, with 36% in each of the 61-75 and 76-90 minute blocks. Huracan Las Heras have scored 12, with 25% in the 61-75 minute period, and conceded 16, with 25% in the final quarter.

The line has not moved since opening, with identical prices at 1.63 for the home side, 3.21 for the draw, and 5.41 for the away side.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40
  • Вилья-Митре — 6. place, 6 points after 5 games (1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses)
  • Уракан Лас Эррас — 7. place, 3 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
  • Вилья-Митре, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Уракан Лас Эррас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Villa Mitre DDWLD 1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Huracan Las Heras WLLDW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 5

1Villa Mitre 2Draw 2Huracan Las Heras
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

33 bookmakers counted
1.68 Average bookmaker line
1.58 — 1.77 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+