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Belgium vs Czech Republic: match prediction on 21 September 2026

CEV European Championship Sportcity Charleroi / Sportpaleis Antwerp / Lotto Arena Antwerp Brussels Miss Match page
Belgium Czech Republic

Prediction for

Win: Czech Republic

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

5% 1
95% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 15:12

Czech Republic take on Belgium in the CEV European Championship, with the model backing the visitors at 2.9 to 1.0.

Belgium sit top of the CEV European Championship table with 12 points from four matches, having won every game they have played. Czech Republic occupy fourth place with 8 points from five matches, three victories and two defeats. The gap in the standings is four points, but Belgium have played one fewer fixture. Both sides have mirrored results in their last five matches: three wins and two losses, nine points each. Belgium's victories came against Serbia 3:0 away, Denmark 3:1 at home, and Estonia 3:1 away. Their defeats were 2:3 to Finland away and 1:3 to Netherlands at home. Czech Republic beat Slovakia 3:0 at home, Sweden 3:2 away, and Greece 3:1 at home. They lost 1:3 to Slovenia away and 1:3 to Italy away. The model projects Czech Republic to score 2.9 while Belgium are expected to manage 1. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals at 0%. These figures suggest a narrow away victory rather than a high-scoring affair. No team news has been confirmed for either side. No injuries or suspensions have been reported for Czech Republic. Belgium's perfect tournament record means they have nothing to lose and everything to play for, which could shift the dynamic if they extend their unbeaten run to five.

65% The model's expectation of 2.9 to 1.0 carries weight, and Czech Republic's away losses were both 1:3, suggesting they can be competitive but need to close out games better.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 15:12
  • Бельгия — 1. place, 12 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
  • Чехия — 3. place, 8 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Бельгия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Чехия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Belgium LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Czech Republic WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+